Cen Michigan
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 73.6553Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 A San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 70.0) 16-14 906 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 4, 84.9) 17-45 913 A Michigan B10 ( 9- 3, 86.2) 3-63 920 H Wagner 49-10 927 H Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 68.0) 24-13 1004 A Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.0) 22-28 1018 A Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.5) 27- 6 1025 H UMass IND ( 0-12, 52.8) 38-13 1101 A We Michigan MIDA ( 9- 4, 75.9) 21-24 1112 H Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 65.9) 38-19 1119 A Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 65.5) 28-16 1129 H Toledo MIDA ( 8- 4, 79.2) 3-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 A San Jose St 16-14 2 1 1.07
906 A Pittsburgh 17-45 -28 -14 -0.12
913 A Michigan 3-63 -60 -15 0.00
927 H Ea Michigan 24-13 11 8 + 2.66
1004 A Akron 22-28 -6 7 --- -13.00
1018 A Bowl. Green 27- 6 21 5 +++ 8.52
1025 H UMass 38-13 25 24 0.00
1101 A We Michigan 21-24 -3 -5 1.93
1112 H Buffalo 38-19 19 10 + 3.54
1119 A Kent State 28-16 12 5 +++ 6.50
1129 H Toledo 3-21 -18 -3 --- -11.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A Akron 22-28 -6 7 --- -13.00 1129 H Toledo 3-21 -18 -3 --- -11.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Bowl. Green 27- 6 21 5 +++ 8.52 1119 A Kent State 28-16 12 5 +++ 6.50 927 H Ea Michigan 24-13 11 8 + 2.66 1112 H Buffalo 38-19 19 10 + 3.54 |
Cen Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| California | California | California | ||
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Florida St | |
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Georgia Tech | |
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Miami | |
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stanford | |
| Syracuse | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| UAB | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | Kansas | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | We Virginia | |
| Illinois | Illinois | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Illinois | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Maryland | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Maryland | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | Rutgers | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Intl | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | Kennesaw St | ||
| Liberty | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| La Tech | La Tech | La Tech | ||
| Middle Tenn | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| NM St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| SHouston St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| UTEP | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | We Kentucky | |
| UMass | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UConn | |
| Akron | Akron | Akron | ||
| Ball St | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Cen Michigan | |
| Bowl. Green | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Buffalo | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Ea Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Kent State | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | MiamiOH 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| No Illinois | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Ohio | |
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | We Michigan | We Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| Boise State | Boise State | Boise State | ||
| Colorado St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fresno St | |
| Hawaii | Hawaii | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hawaii | |
| Nevada | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| New Mexico | New Mexico | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | San Diego St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | San Diego St | |
| San Jose St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | UNLV | ||
| Utah St | Utah St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah St | |
| Wyoming | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| Oregon St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Wash St | Wash St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Oklahoma | |
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas | |
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Arkansas State | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Coastal Car | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Georgia So | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Georgia St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| Marshall | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | Old Dominion | ||
| So Miss | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| So Alabama | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Texas State | Texas State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Texas State | |
| Troy | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| La-Monroe | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Delaware | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Missouri St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.13
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A San Jose St ( 3- 9, 70.0) 16-14 -29.85 17.30 2.67 1.10 44.06
0 A Pittsburgh ( 8- 4, 84.9) 17-45 -15.04 32.11 2.67 1.10 -6.82
0 A Michigan ( 9- 3, 86.2) 3-63 -13.69 33.46 2.67 1.10 -6.07
0 H Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 68.0) 24-13 -31.91 15.24 -2.67 1.10 27.72
0 A Akron ( 5- 7, 64.0) 22-28 -35.92 11.23 2.67 1.10 -18.33
0 A Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 65.5) 27- 6 -34.40 12.75 2.67 1.10 34.03
0 H UMass ( 0-12, 52.8) 38-13 -47.15 1.00 -2.67 1.10 -3.69
0 A We Michigan ( 9- 4, 75.9) 21-24 -23.99 23.16 2.67 1.10 -11.76
0 H Buffalo ( 5- 7, 65.9) 38-19 -34.03 13.12 -2.67 1.10 23.05
0 A Kent State ( 5- 7, 65.5) 28-16 -34.42 12.73 2.67 1.10 33.99
0 H Toledo ( 8- 4, 79.2) 3-21 -20.68 26.47 -2.67 1.10 -12.88
------
103.29
|
winning pts = 159.1490 losing points = -55.8611
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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